I'd say it's close to 50/50 but I'd probably bet on you losing. Hopkins needs a TD to beat you--which he may or may not get. If Maclin scores a TD then you're probably good (unless Hopkins explodes). What I'm looking at is that 50 yards is optimistic for Maclin (which gives you a 15 point lead). On the other hand, Hopkins is likely to get a minimum of about 50 yards with around 80 being more realistic. That leaves a single TD (added to 8 points for 80 yards) to put you neck and neck.
Update: Looks like I was right (although I wasn't correctly accounting for PPR--which made it even less likely that you would win but then again, you'd have lost in non-PPR as well).
Hopkins: 7 for 125 --> 12.5 + 7 = 19.5
Maclin: 1 for 6 --> 0.6 + 1 = 1.6
Final score: 101.7 - 110
...btw, non-PPR would have been: 100.7 - 103 <-- quite a bit closer which is why I said it was close to 50/50 and that Hopkins needed a TD to guarantee a win.
Answers & Comments
Bet you lost. Hopkins is a beast and is getting better play from Savage these days.
I'd say it's close to 50/50 but I'd probably bet on you losing. Hopkins needs a TD to beat you--which he may or may not get. If Maclin scores a TD then you're probably good (unless Hopkins explodes). What I'm looking at is that 50 yards is optimistic for Maclin (which gives you a 15 point lead). On the other hand, Hopkins is likely to get a minimum of about 50 yards with around 80 being more realistic. That leaves a single TD (added to 8 points for 80 yards) to put you neck and neck.
Update: Looks like I was right (although I wasn't correctly accounting for PPR--which made it even less likely that you would win but then again, you'd have lost in non-PPR as well).
Hopkins: 7 for 125 --> 12.5 + 7 = 19.5
Maclin: 1 for 6 --> 0.6 + 1 = 1.6
Final score: 101.7 - 110
...btw, non-PPR would have been: 100.7 - 103 <-- quite a bit closer which is why I said it was close to 50/50 and that Hopkins needed a TD to guarantee a win.
They are good. 10 point lead. Hopkins with Savage is up in the air. Maclin can go off, but I think he will have a decent day.